08/06/2022 Horse Racing Tips & Best Bets – Flemington Auri’s Star Handicap Day

Flemington will host a nine-race Aurie’s Star Handicap Day program on Saturday. The weather is nice, the track is soft (6) and the rail is 10 meters long for the entire circuit.

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Race 1. (12:10) Vrc Member Damian Cubela-Bm70 1410m

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Back me

Good test here for 7 Palaggio (Bet now: BEST ODDS $6.50), but seems like a nice type for a Maher/Eustace team. I’m not sure he beat much on debut on Synthetic at Ballarat where he made an absolute mess of them off the speed, winning by nearly five and running fast splits. You think he’ll lead from gate one and get spanked.

Danger

4 Berkeley Square (Bet now: BEST ODDS $2.15) likes to get into the great surroundings that Flemington has to offer. The question is 1400m and its racing methods. He’s got the engine obviously, but he’s doing it a bit poorly, which probably cost him at Caulfield last time. If he put it all together, he could easily blow this field away.

Long shot

5 Blakmax (Bet now: BEST ODDS $6.50) has the tough racing fitness/experience to shake it up. He ran in the VOBIS Gold Ingot two weeks back when he was almost on the speed throughout and fought really well in defeat behind Boogie Dancer. I think with more patient driving it will be fine at 1400m.

Race 2. (12:45) Villa Paradiso (Bm84) 1410m

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Back me

3 Quintello (Bet now: BEST ODDS $2.50) may bounce back into the list of winners. The Maher/Eustace trained mare was kept on ice who had not raced at this course/distance since June 18 when four wide without cover at the trip and dropped behind Grande Rumore. Fresh legs and in a very winnable race I’m in her corner.

Danger

6 Defiant Diva (Bet now: BEST RATE $5.50) returned in very good condition. Team Corstens trains this mare who has two runs back from the break. Good fresh off a dominant win at Sandown where she sat but came up with a well-timed run to spank them. He sure can measure up.

Long shot

9 Mrs. Sippy (Bet now: $7.00 BEST RATE) knocks on the door to win. He looked a winner at Flemington two weeks ago but was caught close to the peg in a very game effort. Race form was against before the Sandown run so he flies sneakily with this girl and makes J Kah drive. Knockout hope.

Race 3. (13:20) Vrc Season Premiere (70 Bm) 1100 m

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Back me

Fresh legs and straight back, I want to give 9 The Great Pope (Bet now: BEST RATE $9.50) another chance. He was forgiven last start at Sandown where he came a mile off the ground in a race dominated by those on speed. Proven down the straight and Olly taking over, I think it’s worth another look.

Danger

13 Veranšková (Bet now: BEST ODDS $3.70) is a tough mare to follow and trust with confidence, but the return was very encouraging. He continued in the straight three weeks ago at Flemington and I worked purposefully on the front, only to miss out on the win when second to Squid Game. Fitter gets spanked.

Long shot

2 duchess (Bet now: $41.00 BEST COURSES) is a very interesting runner. Michael Freedman was a former trainer, but this mare now finds herself with Tom Dabernig. This mare is very capable when right and is a short run specialist. At a slim seventy, with that statement, I think she commands respect.

Race 4. (13:55) The Riverside (Bm78) 2000m

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Back me

I think 2 Blue cup (Bet now: BEST ODDS $4.40) is a talent horse for the Maher/Eustace camp. I want to see him on a firmer deck and touch wood, this is where he gets it. Three weeks ago he found a sticky circuit here and struggled in the stretch behind Hezashocka. Dry track, I think he will run a much better race.

Danger

Back on firmer feet it should be absolutely ideal 10 Coolth (Bet now: $9.00 BEST COURSES), who raced on heavy terrain with his past pair and was fine, but nowhere near as effective compared to when he raced on land. He gets it here and gets the Ben Melham drive so he appeals.

Long shot

7 Mr. Pickwick (Bet now: $16.00 BEST COURSES) goes up a bit in grade/depth, but the small field helps it. He tried to lead at the Parks track at Morphettville a few weeks ago and put in a solid kick but had to settle for third on the Jaguars. I doubt he’ll beat them, but he can take the spot/top four spot.

Race 5. (2.35pm) Aurie’s Star Handicap 1200m

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Back me

3 King of Sparta (Bet now: $2.60) should be hard to beat again. A wet track was against him at Bletchingly two weeks ago, but a peach from McNeil ensured he found the best ground and was able to wear down Scallopini on the drive. Back on the ground, at least firmer legs, it will be hard to last.

Danger

5 Shooting for gold (Bet now: $3.80) is a fascinating runner. Making his Victorian debut in the O’Dea/Hoysted camp, he has not raced since the latter part of the Brisbane Winter Carnival when he was a narrow fourth in the Healy. He jumped well here last week and seems to race best on the fresh side so watch the market.

Long shot

7 Kalkarni Royale (Bet now: $14.00) looks like a good preparation. Tom Dabernig’s first run here came three weeks ago, where she was back in the running and finished strongly late when just third behind Squid Game. A natural improvement, she’s definitely a key threat here.

Race 6. (15:15) The Parade Lounge (Bm84) 1620m

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Back me

8 Cashin’ Chex (Bet now: $8.50) is racing in the best form of his career and has taken himself to a new level since joining Ashton Downing. He didn’t beat Parks by much at Morphettville two weeks ago, but he made an absolute mess of them and won with plenty in hand. Good test, but I think it can be measured.

Danger

4 He is our Bonneval (Bet now: $5.50) made a small mistake in the two Australian races at the Busuttin/Young camp. Both races led at Caulfield over 1400m and scored an impressive win ahead of a strong third Edison a few weeks ago. The form from that race is suspect, but it is an import with ascension and progression.

Long shot

9 Somerset Maugham (Bet now: $9.50) is not far from winning. In the Not Usual Glorious race at Caulfield, he managed to draw close to the pace and tried to get into contention, but floundered somewhat on a variable track. He has an all-round racing pattern and his best is certainly good enough.

Race 7. (15:55) The Rose Room Hcp 2530m

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Back me

7 High Emocean (Bet now: $4.50) looks like a really good preparation. Somewhat unwanted in the betting when she continued at Flemington, but her run was beautiful, closing with a real finish when a close third behind Hezashocka. She can hit and miss, but her best strength is good enough to get rid of it.

Danger

5 Scary (Bet now: $4.00) changed his career recently. The last time I supported him was a few months ago when he was beaten in 58 at Mornington. Fast forward, it’s multiple city and he spanked them a fortnight back in the Flemington Cup where he gained absolute control at the front and didn’t give a second glance. Hard to beat.

Long shot

1 Dawn Patrol (Bet now: $11.00) be careful. The Team Williams import has a second warm-up in Australia. It continued in the Winter Championship final and I thought it was a sneaky good run from the back, although he never threatened Tuvalu, but the run had merit as he is a horse with an eye on the Melbourne Cup. Nice to see him again.

Race 8. (16:30) The Skyline Lounge Hcp 1410m

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Back me

1 Macrame (Bet now: $15.00) is a quality animal for the Hayes team who, according to connections, people believe could be a Caulfield Cup contender. He hadn’t raced since he slapped his rivals here on Anzac Day and that’s when the Caulfield Cup chat started. More suitable than others, but gives a class advantage.

Danger

8 Zoltán (Bet now: $6.00) lands on the bunny and gives a face. Four weeks between runs since he sat on the speedo at Caulfield and he got a taste of it. Just no game late in wearing down the Edison winner. He was only second so you’d like to think there’s room for improvement.

Long shot

5 Bam’s On Fire (Bet now: $13.00) is probably closer to the end of her career than the beginning, but she is third after the break and should be in top form. She ran the Edison race from four weeks back at Caulfield where she looked to have a chance when she battled late. Back to the bigger track and tough character, her best is pretty good.

Race 9. (17:05) Jockey Celebration Day (Bm84) 1100m

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Back me

10 Fire (Bet now: $2.45) could be a Stakes class, but this run will determine what level he goes to, whether it’s a higher or lower grade. He went on to over 1000m at Sandown on the Test Ground where he was somewhat risked in the betting but eventually won as a barrier with such an impressive return. She must be with him.

Danger

7 Squid game (Bet now: $6.00) is a very pure animal for Patrick Payne, who clearly likes the Flemington straight, which is a big tick when racing here because they can be racetrack horses. Strong on speed he won here three weeks ago riding touch upside down but the class got him home. Hard to beat.

Long shot

3 Pioneer River (Bet now: $19.00) saves the best for the straight and can be a definitive upgrade. He recovered a few weeks back at Caulfield over 1100m when close to the pace throughout and fought back quite well in defeat when third behind the Constructors’ Chief. Back on his pet lane he is in with a shout.

BEST BET: Race Nine Number 10 Fire

NEXT BEST: Race 2 Number 3 Quintello

LONG SHOT: Race number 7 Palaggio

Tips for ATVs (races six to nine):

First leg: 3, 4, 8, 9

Second part: 1, 4, 5, 6, 7

Third section: 1, 8

Fourth part: 10

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