Published on: November 3, 2022, 11:13 am.
Last updated: November 3, 2022, 11:35 am.
After the first eight weeks of the NFL season, the Buffalo Bills are the consensus betting favorite to win Super Bowl LVII at +225 odds, according to DraftKings. The Philadelphia Eagles are +500 odds and the Kansas City Chiefs are +650 odds to win the Super Bowl as the closest competition to the Bills.
The Eagles have the best record at 7-0 and remain the only undefeated team in the NFL, but are only the second best favorite to win the Super Bowl behind the Bills with a 6-1 record.
|SUPER BOWL ODDS||WEEK 8||WEEK 1|
|Kansas City Chiefs||+650||+800|
|San Francisco 49ers||+1300||+2200|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+2500||+700|
The defending Super Bowl champion Los Angeles Rams are on the verge of missing the postseason after a 3-4 start. Their odds have dropped to +4000.
The Cincinnati Bengals were the runner-up in Super Bowl LVI, but the AFC champions are just 4-4 after an ugly loss against the Cleveland Browns on “Monday Night Football.” The Bengals still have a legion of fans who believe they will turn things around in the second half of the season, which is why their odds for Super Bowl LVII are +4000.
Buffalo Bills +225
The Bills started the preseason as public favorites to win the Super Bowl, and punters continue to back them. The Bills saw their chances cut consistently throughout the season. Just four weeks ago, you could have backed the Bills at +400 to win the Super Bowl, but their odds have since increased to +225.
Quarterback Josh Allen leads the NFL’s second-highest scoring offense, averaging 29 points per game, but the Bills’ stifling defense has been impossible to crack. The Bills allow just 14 points per game and are one of four teams to hold opponents to less than 95 rushing yards per game.
The Bills Mafia is the most rabid fan base in the NFL and they still hope that the Bills can finally win their first Super Bowl. The Bills Mafia is hoping their beloved team can stay healthy in the second half of the season. They want to avoid a repeat of last year’s midseason slump. The Bills peaked too soon in 2021 and then suffered a devastating overtime loss to the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Divisional round.
Keep an eye out for next week’s game against the Minnesota Vikings (6-1) in Week 10. The Bills also host the Miami Dolphins in Week 15, the week before Christmas. They begin 2023 with a “Monday Night Football” game against the Cincinnati Bengals.
Philadelphia Eagles +500
When the Eagles started the season, they were only +1600 odds to win the Super Bowl. Even their staunchest fans were reluctant to draw on future bets. With the first two months of the season over, the Eagles have emerged as the team to beat in the NFC after posting a perfect 7-0 record. As the Eagles extended their winning streak, their Super Bowl chances dwindled week by week. You can bet on them right now at +500 odds.
Versatile quarterback Jalen Hurts is the new face of the NFC, while aging veterans Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers look like endangered dinosaurs. Hurts completed 67 percent of his passes for 1,799 yards and 10 touchdowns. He has thrown just two interceptions, which is tied for second-fewest among starting quarterbacks. The mobile and elusive Hurts also rushed 70 times for 303 yards and six touchdowns.
The Eagles have the fourth-best defense in the NFL, allowing just 16.9 points per game. They have not allowed more than 17 points per game in their previous three wins. They also held two opponents to single-digit scoring. If you discount the 35 points they held against the Detroit Lions in Week 1, the Eagles have allowed just 13.8 points per game since the season opener.
The Eagles have an easy schedule in November and could have an 11-0 record in December. However, their December schedule is tough, with a home game against Derrick Henry and the Tennessee Titans before going on the road for three straight games against the New York Giants, Chicago Bears and Dallas Cowboys.
Kansas City Chiefs +650
The trio of Super Bowl favorites — the Bills, Eagles and Chiefs — are also the league’s top three offenses. The Bills and Eagles also boast a top-four defense, while the Chiefs are lacking in that department. Defense is their biggest weakness.
The Chiefs traded wide receiver Tyreek Hill to the Miami Dolphins in the offseason, but losing their former speedster didn’t derail the offense one bit. Even without Hill, the Chiefs are the NFL’s leading scoring team this season, averaging 31.9 points per game. But, they have to win the shootout because they have the 10th worst defense in the league, allowing 24.6 points per game.
The Chiefs knocked the Bills out of the playoffs last year in an overtime game widely considered the best postseason game of the modern era. The Bills got their revenge with a 24-20 win in Week 6, which marked just the Chiefs’ second loss of the season. As this season has played out, the Bills and Chiefs are once again the top two teams in the AFC.
The Chiefs are fresh off a bye week, and only three of their second-half opponents — the Tennessee Titans, Los Angeles Chargers and Seattle Seahawks — have winning records before Week 9. The Chiefs have three road games in early December against Cincinnati Bengals, Denver Broncos and Houston Texans. The Bengals matchup in Week 13 is a revenge game and a rematch of last year’s AFC Championship, when the Bengals upset the Chiefs to advance to the Super Bowl.
San Francisco 49ers +1300
The San Francisco 49ers could become the biggest threat to the Eagles in the NFC after acquiring quarterback Christian McCaffrey in a trade. The 49ers are 4-4 and only averaging 22 points per game, but their defense kept them afloat in the first half. They allow just 18.4 points per game to the fifth best defense in the NFL. They are 7th overall in defensive DVOA with the 3rd best rushing defense.
The the addition of McCaffrey will help boost their offense while they look forward to the return of Deebo Samuel, who has missed time with a thigh injury.
The 49ers didn’t trade quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo in the offseason, which likely saved their season after starting quarterback Trey Lance suffered a season-ending ankle injury in Week 2. If the injury-prone Jimmy G can stay healthy the rest of the season, the 49ers will be a tough matchup in the postseason.
The 49ers were +2200 odds to win the Super Bowl at the start of the season and saw a slight increase to +1300 after a 4-4 start.
The 49ers are in second place in the NFC West, but have just three divisional games to catch the first-place Seattle Seahawks. They still have to play the Arizona Cardinals twice and have a tough road game against the Seahawks on “Thursday Night Football” in Week 15.
In Week 11, the 49ers and Cardinals meet for a “Monday Night Football” showdown south of the border at Mexico City’s historic Estadio Azteca.
Dallas Cowboys +1500
Even though the Cowboys lost quarterback Dak Prescott to a thumb injury, backup Cooper Rush led the team to a 4-1 record. The undefeated Eagles handed Rush his only loss as a starter this season in Week 6.
Heading into Week 9, the Cowboys are 6-2 and have the third-best record in the NFC thanks to their defense. They’re allowing just 16.6 points per game to the NFL’s third-best defense, which is anchored by linebacker Micah Parsons. Their defense ranks 3rd in DVOA thanks to a tight and threatening secondary.
The Cowboys were +4000 odds to win Super Bowl LVII earlier in the season, but even the loss of Prescott for five games didn’t deter bettors. The Cowboys have seen their chances move constantly throughout the season. At +1500 odds to win the Super Bowl, the Cowboys are the fifth favorite on the DraftKings futures board.
After a bye this weekend, the Cowboys hit the road for back-to-back games against the Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings. Their Week 11 matchup against the Vikings could be a potential playoff preview.
On Thanksgiving, the Cowboys host the NFC East rival New York Giants (6-2). In Week 16, the undefeated Eagles head to Texas for a Christmas Eve showdown against the Cowboys.